Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 79.371831 88.963333 98.791000 109.582776 121.070009 132.903412 145.985894
2024-12-22 64.293665 77.998143 92.685394 109.472348 128.007858 147.737113 170.213916
2024-12-29 56.085468 72.163777 89.965229 110.883500 134.550179 160.275400 190.135121
2025-01-05 50.241627 68.102894 88.444819 112.910056 141.143510 172.347578 209.094427
2025-01-12 43.871813 62.697626 84.749044 111.870711 143.757265 179.541376 222.234942
2025-01-19 37.757970 56.998582 80.188186 109.345027 144.241423 183.969638 231.943361
2025-01-26 35.562687 55.938715 81.019094 113.055876 151.882880 196.526532 250.880135
2025-02-02 33.173810 54.393051 81.063491 115.658908 158.091856 207.339614 267.758958
2025-02-09 29.466303 50.794436 78.275001 114.560699 159.676300 212.588303 278.055185
2025-02-16 26.176759 47.486422 75.633104 113.447948 161.080105 217.496935 287.853019
2025-02-23 24.025519 45.591325 74.695759 114.374843 164.898514 225.226236 300.943223
2025-03-02 21.701404 43.253503 73.017794 114.224363 167.280796 231.156792 311.847322
2025-03-09 19.846318 41.496277 72.063407 114.994119 170.840799 238.582358 324.657068
2025-03-16 17.538357 38.849013 69.732860 113.833605 171.874413 242.872245 333.671858
2025-03-23 16.292080 37.767593 69.525003 115.444893 176.405901 251.439037 347.855223
2025-03-30 15.279036 36.977586 69.673867 117.495637 181.479851 260.671437 362.860553
2025-04-06 13.511661 34.757007 67.618032 116.434656 182.438245 264.732044 371.515427
2025-04-13 11.537887 31.964718 64.554419 113.845223 181.286873 266.069409 376.762876
2025-04-20 11.250927 32.193799 66.052428 117.648687 188.592179 278.078307 395.206406
2025-04-27 10.724195 31.926644 66.758588 120.315898 194.384594 288.184151 411.319510
2025-05-04 9.422680 30.044796 64.857929 119.190677 195.052543 291.746592 419.288314
2025-05-11 8.241647 28.255849 63.002920 118.050451 195.639119 295.162552 427.046147
2025-05-18 7.554629 27.404182 62.607048 119.000238 199.037447 302.175441 439.307446